Setup Idea
This is “knife catching” — a long after an extreme dump (10%+ in one minute). Such a flush is usually driven by panic, stop cascades, and forced position closures. After these events, the market can sometimes produce a fast technical bounce of 1–2% or more.
The key principle: we don’t buy the fall, we buy the moment when the selling stops pressing. This is not “calling the bottom.” It’s a short-term trade on normalization after an extreme event.
Important: this strategy is not for beginners. You cannot “just sit through it,” and you cannot pretend the downside risk is unlimited.
Disclaimer (Read This First)
- This is not a core setup. It’s an extreme regime where the market can continue dumping in waves.
- No averaging down. Do not add on every next “knife” and blow up the position. That’s the main way people get wiped out.
- A time stop is mandatory. If the bounce doesn’t start, you exit.
- If the trade goes against you, it’s often better to hedge (reduce directional exposure) than to hope and increase size.
What You Need on TradingView
Timeframes:
- 1m for execution
- 5m for context
- (optional) 15m to confirm the whole market isn’t collapsing
Indicators:
- VWAP
- Volume
- RSI 14
Data:
- Open Interest (OI)
- Premium Index
- Funding (from the exchange / widget)
Conditions (Checklist)
Required
- Your screener triggers Dump ≥ 10% (60s)
- Signs of “climax”: a strong volume spike / a large impulse candle
- A clear pause in the sell-off: price stops making a new low every minute
- Premium Index stops deteriorating (stabilizes or starts moving toward 0 is a plus)
Hard No’s (Most Important)
- The whole market is dumping in sync (BTC/ETH are cascading and alts are dominoing) → do not catch knives
- OI is rising hard into the drop while Premium keeps worsening → often continued pressure
- No pause / no stabilization → this is just a falling market
Optional (Improves Quality)
- RSI14 is deeply oversold and starts lifting
- OI starts declining (often means leverage is being flushed/closed)
- There is a visible historical level where price has bounced before
How to Enter Manually
Rule: enter only after proof that the knife has “gone dull.”
- Let the flush happen (Dump ≥ 10%) — do not jump in during the first seconds
- Wait for a pause:
- minimum: 2–3 consecutive 1m candles without a new low
- Enter long:
- on the first reasonable push up after the pause, or
- after a mini-structure higher low forms on 1m
- (Entering “market at the bottom of the candle” is forbidden — that’s gambling.)
Invalidation (When the Setup Breaks)
To keep risk real, you need a strict manual exit rule:
- Price makes a new low below the flush low and keeps printing lower lows
- Premium Index starts deteriorating again while price remains weak
- No bounce appears within a reasonable time (see time stop)
Take Profit (Short Targets, Matching Your Model)
- TP1: +1% (close 60–80%)
- TP2: +2% (close the remainder)
- Alternative: one take profit at +1.5%
Time Stop (Mandatory)
If the market does not produce an upside impulse within 5–15 minutes after entry — exit.
Knife catching without an impulse quickly becomes “holding a knife,” which is not your model.
Risk Management (Strict)
- Position size must be smaller than in your standard setups.
- Do not average down. Ever.
- If price moves against you, it’s better to:
- cut exposure, or
- add a hedge (e.g., partial short/perp) to reduce directional risk,
- rather than sit and hope.
Common Beginner Mistakes
- Going long while price is still falling, without a pause
- Averaging down at every new low
- Holding for hours without a time stop
- Catching knives while the entire market is collapsing
30-Second Quick Checklist
- Dump ≥ 10% ✅
- Pause / stabilization ✅
- Premium stopped deteriorating ✅
- Entry after proof (HL / pause) ✅
- Short TP + strict time stop ✅
If any item is missing — skip the trade.
Trade Example
Screener Settings (To Catch Only Extreme Events)
- Dump (60s) ≥ 10%
- Liquidity filter: Min 24h Volume (avoid thin coins)
- whitelist/blacklist
👉 Screeners let you filter only extreme dumps, quickly validate OI and Premium Index, and open a trade in one click. But again: knife catching is not routine — it’s a specialized tool that requires discipline and a strict no-averaging rule.